Gefest Qaraghandi vs Cesna Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefest Qaraghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 3
CSK
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
KYZ
3 - 0
GEF
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OKZ
3 - 0
GEF
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 2
ILI
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GEF
3 - 1
KAS
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cesna Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 0
KYR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
LAS
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AKB
2 - 1
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ZST
2 - 1
CEA
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 5
AKJ
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |