Gefest Qaraghandi vs Bayterek Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefest Qaraghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 1
BOL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AKB
1 - 2
GEF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ZST
2 - 1
GEF
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 0
EKI
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bayterek Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAY
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 4
ILI
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
CSK
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
LAS
2 - 1
BAY
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FKB
2 - 2
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |