Geestemünde vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
6º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
TRB
38%
21%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
4 - 2
GEE
35%
21%
44%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 5
WER
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 2
TRB
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WER
12 - 0
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 5
TKA
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OSC
3 - 0
TKA
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |