Geestemünde vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
6º
39
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 1
GEE
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 8
SVH
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 5
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
BLU
57%
19%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 1
GEE
14%
16%
70%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
6 - 1
BTN
75%
14%
12%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BLU
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 3
BTN
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BTN
4 - 3
VAB
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 1
BTN
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |