Geestemünde vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
41
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEE
2 - 2
LEH
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 6
GEE
62%
18%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
HEE
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TSS
0 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
OBE
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
BTN
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
3 - 0
BTN
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 3
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
BTN
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |