GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GEB
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEB
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GEB
13 - 0
SSR
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
GEB
1 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 0
GEB
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GEB
1 - 3
SAO
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
YPI
32%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |