GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
GEB
56%
26%
18%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 4
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
GEB
3 - 2
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEB
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
SGA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ISM
2 - 0
SAO
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
ISM
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |