GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
4 - 1
GEB
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
IPA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
PST
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |