GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
GEB
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
GFC
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
GEB
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 0
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |