GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GEB
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEB
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
4 - 0
FAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GEB
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 2
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 1
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 0
SAO
41%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |