GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 2
GEB
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 1
GEB
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 1
GEB
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 4
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 5
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
GFC
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |