GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
GEB
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 2
RIO
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
GEB
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
3 - 1
FCP
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
GEB
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRU
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 0
ACP
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
GEB
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |