GE Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
GEB
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
GEB
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
5 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
GEB
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 3
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |