GE Bagé vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
GEB
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GEB
2 - 0
SGA
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 1
LAJ
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GEB
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 0
PEL
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
PEL
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 1
ISM
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 0
PEL
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
15%
22%
62%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |