GE Bagé vs Guarany Camaqua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
GEB
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 1
RIO
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
GEB
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 1
ECJ
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
GFC
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |