GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 1
GEB
64%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
GEB
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 1
GEB
72%
19%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 4
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAJ
2 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
ISM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |