GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
1 - 1
GEB
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 0
SGA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEB
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ECA
2 - 0
GEB
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 3
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ISM
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SGA
1 - 2
GUA
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |