GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
GEB
1 - 2
PEL
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GEB
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GEB
0 - 1
GRE
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 2
GEB
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEB
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
PEL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEB
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |