GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
GEB
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GEB
2 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEB
2 - 1
ECJ
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IPA
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -4 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |