GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
GEB
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
GFC
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAR
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |