GE Bagé vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
4 - 3
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GEB
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
GFC
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |