Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 5-5
GE Bagé vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
4 - 1
GEB
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
IPA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
IPA
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |