GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
GEB
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
GEB
2 - 1
FBC
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
GEB
1 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 1
GEB
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
NOV
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
FBC
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 1
FAR
9%
14%
76%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
34%
22%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GEB
2 - 1
FAR
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |