GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 0
GEB
64%
23%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GEB
3 - 3
AIM
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 1
GEB
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 0
GEB
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEB
5 - 0
BAR
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AIM
1 - 0
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 2
ECS
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
FAR
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 0
FAR
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |