GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
GEB
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GEB
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
64%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAR
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |