GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GEB
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 2
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
CRU
63%
20%
16%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
GEB
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 3
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |