GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 1
GEB
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
GEB
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
GEB
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
5 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
GEB
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
FAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |