GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 4
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
GEB
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
FAR
0 - 0
GEB
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 1
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ECJ
3 - 1
FAR
28%
23%
48%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
FAR
1 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |