GE Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
ECJ
0 - 1
GEB
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GEB
1 - 1
PEL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
GEB
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 3
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 0
FAR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 2
PEL
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ECJ
3 - 2
FAR
14%
24%
63%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |