GE Bagé vs Cruzeiro RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
GEB
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
0 - 2
LAJ
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
ISM
3 - 2
GEB
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
1 - 1
SGA
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IPA
2 - 0
GEB
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
LAJ
0 - 0
CRU
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ISM
0 - 0
CRU
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
YPI
0 - 0
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 0
YPI
31%
28%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |