GE Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
BRA
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GEB
68%
19%
12%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
GEB
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 2
FAR
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 2
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
ECJ
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
ECJ
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 0
BRA
19%
22%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |