GE Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
GEB
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
3 - 0
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 1
GEB
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
GEB
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ECJ
0 - 1
PEL
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 4
ECJ
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 0
GUA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
2 - 0
ECJ
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |