Fontinhas vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
10º
55
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
COI
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
GDF
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
GDF
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
USA
14%
22%
63%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 3
USA
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |