Fontinhas vs União de Coimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
10º
38
1º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
GDF
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
GDF
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 1
GDF
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 2
GDF
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
COI
1 - 2
RAB
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 0
COI
8%
14%
78%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |