Fontinhas vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
10º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
GDF
74%
18%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
AMO
28%
27%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
6 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
REA
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
GDF
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SCP
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |