Fontinhas vs Sertanense analysis

Fontinhas Sertanense
38 ELO 42
-6% Tilt -10.2%
43392º General ELO ranking 6598º
1069º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Fontinhas
26.4%
Draw
30.7%
Sertanense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
Fontinhas
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
Sertanense
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fontinhas
-4%
-36%
Sertanense

Points and table prediction

Fontinhas
Their league position
Sertanense
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
14º
10º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
União Santarém
55
55
100%
Lusitânia
51
51
100%
Marinhense
50
50
100%
FC Alverca II
39
39
100%
União de Coimbra
38
38
100%
Benfica Castelo Branco
37
37
100%
Sertanense
37
37
0%
Mortágua
37
37
0%
Peniche
37
37
100%
Fontinhas
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Rabo Peixe
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Vitoria de Sernache
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Gouveia
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Uniao Tomar
14º
17
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fontinhas
Sertanense
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Fontinhas
Sertanense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fontinhas
Fontinhas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
GDF
Fontinhas
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
31%
28%
41%
39 47 8 0
18 Feb. 2024
PEN
Peniche
1 - 1
Fontinhas
GDF
27%
24%
49%
39 32 7 0
11 Feb. 2024
GDF
Fontinhas
2 - 1
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
27%
27%
47%
37 46 9 +2
04 Feb. 2024
GOU
Gouveia
3 - 1
Fontinhas
GDF
39%
24%
37%
38 34 4 -1
28 Jan. 2024
GDF
Fontinhas
2 - 0
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
51%
23%
27%
37 35 2 +1

Matches

Sertanense
Sertanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 0
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
51%
24%
25%
41 35 6 0
18 Feb. 2024
MOR
Mortágua
2 - 1
Sertanense
SER
37%
27%
36%
42 38 4 -1
10 Feb. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 1
União de Coimbra
COI
14%
24%
62%
42 66 24 0
04 Feb. 2024
USA
União Santarém
2 - 0
Sertanense
SER
65%
21%
14%
43 49 6 -1
28 Jan. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 0
Lusitânia
LUS
34%
26%
39%
43 44 1 0