Fontinhas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
OLH
0 - 2
GDF
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
GDF
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
GDF
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
IDA
1 - 2
GDF
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
13%
26%
61%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
PER
49%
27%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |