Fontinhas vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
10º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 4
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
PER
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
GDF
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 0
OLH
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 3
USA
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AMO
0 - 1
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
USA
2 - 2
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
AMO
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |