Biaschesi vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
RAP
4 - 2
GCB
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GCB
3 - 2
LUZ
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
STG
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GCB
1 - 3
ZOF
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ESC
0 - 2
GCB
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZOF
2 - 1
LUG
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ZUG
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |