Gazélec Ajaccio vs Sainte-Marienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
20.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.9%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 1
LYO
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 1
NAN
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 2
GAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 1
LOR
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sainte-Marienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
USS
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
PIE
51%
26%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |