Gazélec Ajaccio vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 0
GAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GAZ
2 - 2
PAU
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
RED
1 - 1
GAZ
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
GAZ
1 - 1
PAC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
IST
3 - 2
GAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
LRO
1 - 0
THO
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
THO
0 - 5
VAL
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
5 - 1
THO
74%
17%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
THO
1 - 1
PAU
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
RED
2 - 0
THO
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |