Gazélec Ajaccio vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAE
1 - 1
GAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GAZ
5 - 0
LEP
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
GAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
BEZ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UZE
1 - 0
GAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 0
SPO
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAE
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |