Gazélec Ajaccio vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 0
GAZ
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LEP
0 - 2
GAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GAZ
4 - 1
GFO
60%
22%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AND
2 - 1
GAZ
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
GAP
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
JUR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |