Gazélec Ajaccio vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
OLY
4 - 0
GAZ
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AND
2 - 0
GAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAZ
3 - 1
LYO
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 0
GAZ
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GAZ
2 - 0
GAP
41%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
AND
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAE
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
0 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |