Gazélec Ajaccio vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 2
GAZ
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GAZ
0 - 2
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
GAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
GAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
EPM
0 - 4
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
FRE
48%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAE
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |