Gazélec Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
GAZ
0 - 1
GUI
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
GAZ
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
REI
1 - 2
GAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 0
GIR
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
3 - 1
NIC
16%
23%
62%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
4 - 1
TRO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 2
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |