Gazélec Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
GAZ
51%
28%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 2
ASS
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NIC
3 - 0
GAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GAZ
1 - 0
CAE
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GAZ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIL
4 - 1
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 3
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
LIL
38%
29%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 0
REI
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |