Gazélec Ajaccio vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
EPM
0 - 1
GAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GAZ
2 - 1
FRE
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GAZ
3 - 2
LUZ
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
FRE
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 2
EPM
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
4 - 3
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GAZ
2 - 1
FRE
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAE
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |