Gazélec Ajaccio vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GAZ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
GAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 3
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAE
59%
23%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
REN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LYO
4 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 2
REI
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |