Gazélec Ajaccio vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 1
NIO
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
GAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
PFC
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 5
GAZ
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
GAZ
2 - 0
FCM
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 3
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |